Market Reports

The first half of 2018 brought expected results for the Oklahoma City Central Business District with increased vacancy due to the addition of the BOK Park Plaza Building to available inventory and negative absorption of 84,000 square feet. However, there are continued signs of improvement in the suburbs as 157,000 square feet was absorbed in those submarkets. The net absorption for the entire market was a positive 73,000 square feet; the first positive absorption total in the past seven semi-annual reports.


AT THE MID-POINT OF 2018, CALGARY’S RETAIL MARKET CONTINUED TO GRAPPLE WITH A FLOOD OF VACANT SEARS RETAIL SPACE THROUGHOUT THE CITY.


The retail market in Portland did not experience much change during the second quarter. With the vacancy rate at 3.2%, net absorption was a positive 83,327 square feet and vacant sublease space increased by 29,737 square feet. There was a slight increase in quoted rental rates, ending at $17.35 per square foot per year. Seven buildings were delivered to the market and 1,129,274 square feet are still under construction.


The second quarter in the Portland Office market ended with a 6.6% vacancy rate. While net absorption totaled a positive 1,160,537 square feet, vacant sublease space increased to 334,810 square feet. The quarter finished with rental rates at $23.81, which remained the same from the first quarter. Five buildings were delivered to the market with 2,503,330 square feet under construction at the end of the quarter.


The second quarter has come to a close with a vacancy rate of 3.7%. Net absorption totaled a positive 713,455 square feet and vacant sublease space increased. Rental rates increased to $8.16 and nine buildings were delivered to the market. Those nine buildings totaled 552,369 square feet and 4,846,902 square feet remain under construction at the end of this quarter.


The past twelve months have seen a rise in multi-tenant industrial vacancy from 17.63% in 2017 to 20.13% in 2018.


The second quarter saw a slight increase in vacancy from 6.3% in Q1, to 6.4% in Q2, indicating that the market continues to move forward at a healthy pace.


At the end of the first quarter of 2018, the industrial market of the Mexico City Metropolitan Area recorded an inventory of 9.6M SQM or 103.7M SQFT of Class A warehouses, concentrated mainly in the Cuautitlan 30%, Toluca 19%, and Tultitlan 17% submarkets.


The Mexico City Metropolitan Area Inventory for Class A+ and A Office buildings closed the 1Q of 2018 with a total inventory of 6.4 M SQM or 69.2M SQFT. This represents an increase of 11% equivalent to 603k sqm or 6.5 M SQFT.


Bradford Allen is pleased to share with you our 2018 first quarter office market report.This quarter in the downtown market:• Office market activity in River West is officially tracked as the most recent submarket to join the CBD. • Net absorption was positive 720,640 sf. • The direct vacancy rate dropped to 11.85% from 12.1%, and the average gross asking rent decreased to $39.38psf from $40.69psf, both compared to the previous quarter.


Vacancy for Q1/2018 remains at 6.3% and rates were largely unchanged for industrial, with a slight increase from $5.88 SF in Q4/2017 up to $5.92 SF at the end of the first quarter. Demand continues to outweigh supply and the majority of submarkets continue to experience low vacancy rates.


Absorption over the fourth quarter totalled positive 86,000 square feet (sf).


Absorption for the fourth quarter totaled negative 41,000 square feet (sf).


The Beltline market witnessed a net negative absorption totaling 72,000 square feet (sf) during the fourth quarter.


After another quarter characterized by strong leasing activity, the industrial market’s positive trend continued with vacancy decreasing by another 0.50% in the fourth quarter to 6.52%.


Residential Land, Multi-Residential and Industrial sales led Calgary’s commercial real estate investment market in a continued recovery during 2017. Multi-Residential and Residential Land investments both grew more than one-third year-over-year, demonstrating the health and strength of the Greater Calgary Area.


Edmonton’s commercial real estate (CRE) investment market was remarkably stable during 2017, with total dollar volume down just 2.9% year-over-year. There was a game of musical chairs among some asset classes; office investment dominated the year while industrial investment faded. Retail stayed put.


The Mexico City Metropolitan Area Inventory for Class A and A+ office buildings closed the 4Q of 2017 with a total office inventory of 6.3 million square meters. This represents an increase of 10% equivalent to 607 thousand Sq.M.


At the close of the fourth quarter of 2017, the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City’s Industrial Market recorded an inventory of 9.5M Sq.M. of industrial ships class A, mainly in the submarkets of Cuautitlan (19%), Tultitlan (17%) and Tepotzotlan (13%).


Retail Market Forecasts Continued Growth


THE OVERALL VACANCY RATE IN SUBURBAN CALGARY CONTINUED TO INCREASE OVER THE FOURTH QUARTER, RISING FROM 16.21% IN Q3 TO 18.33% IN Q4. This change is reflective of 152,609 sf of negative absorption in addition to the completion of several suburban office projects which each contain significant amounts of vacant space. The timing of new office project deliveries has been a key element of the Suburban office story. In total, more than 800,000 sf of new product was introduced over the course of 2015.


Welcome to Bilfinger GVA’s central London office analysis; a detailed account of our view of the market in Q4 2015.


Welcome to Bilfinger GVA’s central London office analysis; a detailed account of our view of the market in Q3 2015.


Net absorption for the year dropped to 833,000 square feet. • The vacancy rate reached 11.0%. • The first of Chicago’s two new office towers opened its doors, 444 West Lake had tenants move into around 140,000 square feet of the one million square-foot building.


As the third quarter for 2016 ends, the Texas economy gained momentum as recent data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas shows. All indications are that Dallas has moved past the economic slump attributable to oil prices. Fort Worth has been slower to rebound, as they were deeply impacted by the dramatically lower oil prices. The Metroplex continues to experience job growth as reported by The Dallas Business Journal in November, and our in migration of residential remains strong. It appears that the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex has moved to a diversified economy and a lessening dependence upon the energy sector.


The Upper Tollway Sub-Market has seen a spike in Class A vacancy from 18.1% in Q3 of 2015, to 22.3% in Q3 of 2016. Although full-service rents continue to climb, prices have slowly began to mellow out as rates increased from $33.53 PSF to $34.57 PSF during the same time frame. The most alarming of the Q3 statistics is the fact that Class A total net absorption for Q3 2016 was -77,093 SF, with over 200,000 SF of new sublet space arriving to market just this quarter.


The Richardson/Plano Sub-Market has shown an decrease in the direct Class A vacancy from 15.5% in the third quarter of 2016 to 12.3% at the beginning of the third quarter of 2016. Meanwhile, direct weighted average full-service rents increased from $24.16 to $26.12 per square foot during the same time. Class A net absorption in the past twelve months sits at 1,109,572 square feet. Class B vacancy remained relatively stable and sits at 20.9% with full-service rental rates jumping from $19.08 per square foot to $22.48 per square foot.


The Preston Center Sub-Market has seen an increase in the Class A vacancy from 6.6% at the end of third quarter 2015 to 6.8% at the end of the second quarter 2016. Average full-service rental rates of Class A space increased per square foot, from $37.40 to $37.67 during the same timeframe. Class A direct net absorption was at 51,053 square feet for the third quarter of 2016.


The North Central Expressway Sub-Market has seen a remarkable decrease in the Direct Class A vacancy from 17.3% at the end of third quarter 2015 to 12.4% at the end of the third quarter 2016. Average full-service rental rates of Class A space increased per square foot, from $27.67 to $29.30 during the same timeframe. Class A direct net absorption is currently at 37,268 square feet quarter to date. Meanwhile, Direct Class B vacancy has decreased by .6% since the third quarter of 2015 from 8.7% to 8.1% with full-service rental rates increasing from $23.12 per square foot to $24.81 per square foot. Direct net absorption in Class B space is negative at 9,444 square feet for this quarter.


Class A properties along the Dallas North Tollway remain full, hovering around a record-low 12% vacancy rate. We did however see a correction in Class A property rental rates, that decreased $.33 cents per square foot to settle at $29.02 at the end of the third quarter. We do not anticipate much, if any rental rate increases in the coming months. We are of the opinion that the rental rates for Class A product have topped out, and will likely decrease as companies like Fannie Mae and JP Morgan prepare to relocate to Plano.


The LBJ Corridor is one of the last remaining safe havens for companies that are seeking rent relief. With submarkets like Central Expressway and the Lower Tollway experiencing 10-12% vacancy rates, the East LBJ Corridor has a vacancy rate of just below 25%. We expect this to change drastically in 2017 with companies fleeing surrounding submarkets for the best valued office space in the entire DFW-Metroplex.


At the end of the third quarter of 2016, the flex market averaged a $8.87 psf triple-net rental rate, which is a significant increase from the third quarter average rental rate in 2015 of $8.07 psf triple-net. The vacancy rate for the second quarter of 2016 sits at 7.0%.


TCN Worldwide's State of the Market: Central Edition, 3rd Quarter 2016 Prepared by Hugh F. Kelly, PhD, CRE, Consulting Economist to TCN Worldwide In this edition: –National and Macroeconomic Overview –Regional Conditions in the Central States –Commercial Property Investment Trends


Bradford Allen is pleased to share with you our 2016 third quarter market report.This quarter in the downtown market: • Absorption for the quarter reached 806,000 square feet • Rental rates dropped a nominal $.09 to $36.14 • Vacancy dropped to 11.5% • Two companies, Duracell and Wilson Sporting Goods, announced that they will be moving their offices to downtown Chicago


To no one’s surprise the first half of 2016 was a rough period for the Oklahoma City office market. The market’s vacancy rate increased from 12.3% to 14.8% and the market suffered negative absorption of 179,000 square feet. The Mid-Year 2016 report is yet another lagging economic indicator of where the state’s economy and particularly the state of the petroleum industry currently stands.


Despite layoffs and bankruptcies in the oil and gas sector driven by drastically lower crude oil prices, The Oklahoma City multi-tenant industrial market is reporting lower overall vacancy than at this time in 2015.


The retail market is better than it seems like it should be. Given the continued layoffs & bankruptcies in the energy market, declining sales tax revenues, and general economic uncertainties, the expectation would be that the Oklahoma economy and the retail market would be in a recession. But, leasing activity, development and interest in our market remain strong.


The Dallas/Ft. Worth Office market ended the second quarter 2016 with a vacancy rate of 14.3%. The vacancy rate was down over the previous quarter, with net absorption totaling positive 1,760,334 square feet in the second quarter.


The Preston Center Sub-Market has seen a 13.5% increase in the Class A vacancy from 7.4% at the end of second quarter 2015 to 8.4% at the end of the second quarter 2016. Average full-service rental rates of Class A space increased per square foot, from $35.75 to $37.30 during the same timeframe. Class A direct net absorption was a negative 22,979 square feet for the second quarter of 2016.


The Lower Tollway Sub-Market is defined by the geographic boundaries of Alpha Road on the south, President George Bush Turnpike on the north, Preston Road on the east, and Midway Road on the west. Rental rates for Class A properties have climbed a staggering 8% over the past year, and 15% over the last two years, to$29.57 full service.


At the end of the second quarter of 2016, the flex market averaged a $8.84 psf triple-net rental rate, which is a significant increase from the second quarter average rental rate in 2015 of $8.16 psf triple-net. The vacancy rate for the second quarter of 2016 sits at 7.1%.


The Richardson/Plano Sub-Market has shown an increase in the direct Class A vacancy from 5.9% in the second quarter of 2016 to 21.3% at the beginning of the second quarter of 2016. Meanwhile, direct weighted average full-service rents increased per square foot from $23.20 to $25.96 per square foot during the same time.


The LBJ Corridor Sub-Market has seen an increase in the Direct Class A vacancy from 22.4% at the end of the second quarter of 2015 to 22.8% at the end of the second quarter in 2016. Average full-service rental rates of Class A space increased per square foot, from $23.98 to $26.40 during the same timeframe.